Robinson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Robinson. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 190 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 188 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 32°F | 208 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 168 |
| 28°F | 233 | 226 | 221 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 191 |
| 24°F | 258 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 211 |
| 20°F | 281 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 241 | 233 |
| 16°F | 306 | 296 | 290 | 284 | 278 | 273 | 267 | 260 | 251 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,170
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,249
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,268
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,002
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,872
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,871
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,995
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,128 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 903 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 694 | 3 | 59 |
| April | 339 | 17 | 197 |
| May | 112 | 112 | 469 |
| June | 8 | 279 | 721 |
| July | 1 | 359 | 823 |
| August | 3 | 299 | 761 |
| September | 55 | 151 | 547 |
| October | 308 | 29 | 229 |
| November | 643 | 1 | 49 |
| December | 976 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.3 km from Robinson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00117345 (Robinson). Public domain.