Pope County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dixon Springs Agric Ctr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 14 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 189 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last April 14, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 188 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 155 | 147 |
| 32°F | 208 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 169 |
| 28°F | 234 | 226 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 190 |
| 24°F | 260 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 224 | 218 | 211 |
| 20°F | 284 | 277 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 235 |
| 16°F | 311 | 303 | 294 | 287 | 282 | 276 | 270 | 264 | 254 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,206
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,389
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,940
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,542
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,288
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,175
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,207
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 949 | 0 | 12 |
| February | 733 | 0 | 25 |
| March | 540 | 5 | 100 |
| April | 242 | 30 | 271 |
| May | 79 | 122 | 509 |
| June | 7 | 279 | 721 |
| July | 0 | 385 | 849 |
| August | 2 | 346 | 809 |
| September | 38 | 180 | 593 |
| October | 233 | 39 | 297 |
| November | 540 | 3 | 85 |
| December | 845 | 0 | 18 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.8 km from Pope County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00112353 (Dixon Springs Agric Ctr). Public domain.