Oak Grove Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Moline Quad City Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 18, a growing season of about 176 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 18
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
| 16°F | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 137 |
| 32°F | 195 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 155 |
| 28°F | 217 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 177 |
| 24°F | 243 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 199 |
| 20°F | 263 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 219 |
| 16°F | 282 | 274 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 250 | 245 | 237 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,024
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,041
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,678
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,502
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,449
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,520
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,716
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,292 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,044 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 785 | 2 | 37 |
| April | 417 | 11 | 136 |
| May | 153 | 76 | 394 |
| June | 16 | 228 | 661 |
| July | 2 | 327 | 790 |
| August | 4 | 265 | 725 |
| September | 84 | 116 | 484 |
| October | 368 | 17 | 185 |
| November | 740 | 1 | 32 |
| December | 1,119 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.2 km from Oak Grove. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014923 (Moline Quad City Intl AP). Public domain.