Neoga Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Neoga 4NW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 185 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 24°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 182 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 144 |
| 32°F | 205 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 163 |
| 28°F | 228 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 24°F | 256 | 247 | 240 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 215 | 206 |
| 20°F | 281 | 271 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 230 |
| 16°F | 301 | 292 | 286 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 258 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,272
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,168
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,129
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,869
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,752
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,764
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,900
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,149 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 914 | 0 | 10 |
| March | 713 | 3 | 53 |
| April | 359 | 11 | 176 |
| May | 117 | 99 | 450 |
| June | 7 | 262 | 705 |
| July | 1 | 342 | 806 |
| August | 4 | 283 | 744 |
| September | 63 | 138 | 526 |
| October | 310 | 31 | 233 |
| November | 653 | 1 | 43 |
| December | 981 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.5 km from Neoga. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00116025 (Neoga 4NW). Public domain.