Mount Sterling Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Perry 6 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 179 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 6, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 177 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 137 |
| 32°F | 200 | 194 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 157 |
| 28°F | 223 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 188 | 181 |
| 24°F | 247 | 240 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 204 |
| 20°F | 271 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 223 |
| 16°F | 289 | 281 | 275 | 270 | 266 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,406
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,169
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,082
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,839
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,727
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,743
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,883
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,173 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 934 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 714 | 3 | 53 |
| April | 365 | 17 | 180 |
| May | 123 | 95 | 441 |
| June | 14 | 253 | 690 |
| July | 2 | 349 | 812 |
| August | 4 | 295 | 756 |
| September | 72 | 134 | 514 |
| October | 329 | 22 | 214 |
| November | 660 | 1 | 52 |
| December | 1,017 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.8 km from Mount Sterling. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00116738 (Perry 6 Nw). Public domain.