Mount Olive Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hillsboro. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 189 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 148 |
| 32°F | 212 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 170 |
| 28°F | 237 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 192 |
| 24°F | 261 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 215 |
| 20°F | 282 | 274 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 234 |
| 16°F | 303 | 294 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,799
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,389
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,645
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,334
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,156
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,104
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,180
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,088 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 842 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 631 | 5 | 75 |
| April | 291 | 26 | 235 |
| May | 89 | 120 | 498 |
| June | 7 | 296 | 739 |
| July | 1 | 393 | 857 |
| August | 1 | 342 | 806 |
| September | 43 | 169 | 577 |
| October | 261 | 36 | 275 |
| November | 605 | 2 | 67 |
| December | 942 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.6 km from Mount Olive. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00114108 (Hillsboro). Public domain.