Millington Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Morris 1 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 184 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 150 | 143 |
| 32°F | 204 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 170 | 163 |
| 28°F | 227 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 24°F | 247 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 214 | 206 |
| 20°F | 269 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 232 | 226 |
| 16°F | 286 | 277 | 271 | 267 | 262 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 241 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,141
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 995
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,546
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,388
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,357
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,445
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,655
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,288 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,051 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 830 | 2 | 30 |
| April | 451 | 8 | 126 |
| May | 181 | 74 | 370 |
| June | 25 | 218 | 643 |
| July | 3 | 312 | 773 |
| August | 6 | 249 | 708 |
| September | 82 | 114 | 485 |
| October | 371 | 17 | 184 |
| November | 741 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 1,113 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 25.4 km from Millington. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00115825 (Morris 1 Nw). Public domain.