Matherville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Aledo. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 181 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
| 16°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 146 | 140 |
| 32°F | 199 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 160 |
| 28°F | 219 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 180 |
| 24°F | 244 | 236 | 229 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 200 |
| 20°F | 264 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 219 |
| 16°F | 282 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 258 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 236 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,309
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 885
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,378
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,231
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,205
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,303
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,527
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,328 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,084 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 830 | 1 | 27 |
| April | 455 | 5 | 113 |
| May | 178 | 60 | 357 |
| June | 22 | 194 | 622 |
| July | 2 | 283 | 745 |
| August | 6 | 232 | 691 |
| September | 96 | 97 | 454 |
| October | 393 | 12 | 165 |
| November | 768 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 1,147 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.4 km from Matherville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00110072 (Aledo). Public domain.