Lincoln Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lincoln. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 16, a growing season of about 179 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 16
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 151 | 146 | 140 |
| 32°F | 199 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 157 |
| 28°F | 222 | 214 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 178 |
| 24°F | 248 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 208 | 200 |
| 20°F | 274 | 265 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 230 | 223 |
| 16°F | 294 | 285 | 279 | 273 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 252 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,624
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,015
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,796
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,580
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,495
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,535
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,704
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,204 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 964 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 734 | 2 | 46 |
| April | 383 | 11 | 158 |
| May | 132 | 88 | 426 |
| June | 15 | 234 | 669 |
| July | 2 | 301 | 764 |
| August | 6 | 243 | 702 |
| September | 78 | 117 | 491 |
| October | 357 | 17 | 189 |
| November | 700 | 1 | 38 |
| December | 1,049 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.3 km from Lincoln. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00115079 (Lincoln). Public domain.