Hillcrest Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rochelle. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 168 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 141 | 135 | 128 |
| 32°F | 188 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 147 |
| 28°F | 210 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 178 | 170 |
| 24°F | 233 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 193 |
| 20°F | 258 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 214 |
| 16°F | 276 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 232 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,875
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 692
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,892
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,799
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,833
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,988
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,272
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,392 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,153 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 912 | 1 | 19 |
| April | 524 | 3 | 81 |
| May | 231 | 46 | 300 |
| June | 39 | 154 | 566 |
| July | 10 | 221 | 676 |
| August | 17 | 179 | 628 |
| September | 127 | 78 | 408 |
| October | 443 | 9 | 136 |
| November | 819 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 1,209 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.4 km from Hillcrest. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00117354 (Rochelle). Public domain.