Harrison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carbondale Southern Il AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 32°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 152 |
| 32°F | 213 | 207 | 202 | 199 | 195 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 175 |
| 28°F | 239 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 202 | 195 |
| 24°F | 267 | 258 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 219 |
| 20°F | 294 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 240 |
| 16°F | 321 | 309 | 301 | 295 | 290 | 285 | 279 | 272 | 263 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,460
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,370
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,736
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,375
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,161
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,090
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,160
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 984 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 770 | 0 | 19 |
| March | 577 | 4 | 82 |
| April | 275 | 24 | 239 |
| May | 81 | 118 | 503 |
| June | 4 | 302 | 748 |
| July | 0 | 401 | 866 |
| August | 1 | 342 | 806 |
| September | 49 | 146 | 548 |
| October | 267 | 31 | 260 |
| November | 584 | 2 | 65 |
| December | 870 | 0 | 16 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.9 km from Harrison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093810 (Carbondale Southern Il AP). Public domain.