Hamilton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Keokuk Lock Dam 19. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 198 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 32°F | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 197 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 156 |
| 32°F | 218 | 212 | 206 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 177 |
| 28°F | 241 | 234 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 198 |
| 24°F | 262 | 254 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 216 |
| 20°F | 278 | 271 | 266 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 241 | 231 |
| 16°F | 294 | 286 | 281 | 275 | 271 | 267 | 263 | 257 | 248 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,775
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,103
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,847
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,645
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,574
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,624
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,796
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,244 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,004 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 772 | 2 | 39 |
| April | 402 | 9 | 147 |
| May | 144 | 73 | 399 |
| June | 15 | 233 | 667 |
| July | 1 | 345 | 809 |
| August | 3 | 295 | 756 |
| September | 73 | 128 | 508 |
| October | 338 | 19 | 205 |
| November | 704 | 0 | 38 |
| December | 1,074 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3 km from Hamilton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00134381 (Keokuk Lock Dam 19). Public domain.