Franklin Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jacksonville 2E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 179 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 19, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 172 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 136 |
| 32°F | 199 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 170 | 164 | 157 |
| 28°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 199 | 194 | 187 | 180 |
| 24°F | 247 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 209 | 202 |
| 20°F | 272 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 222 |
| 16°F | 294 | 284 | 277 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 242 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,510
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,068
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,898
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,664
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,570
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,605
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,767
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,176 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 945 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 739 | 2 | 47 |
| April | 385 | 13 | 162 |
| May | 139 | 85 | 416 |
| June | 17 | 228 | 661 |
| July | 2 | 320 | 783 |
| August | 6 | 267 | 727 |
| September | 75 | 127 | 505 |
| October | 333 | 23 | 212 |
| November | 677 | 1 | 45 |
| December | 1,015 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.3 km from Franklin. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00114442 (Jacksonville 2E). Public domain.