Forreston Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Polo 5NW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 161 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 9, first September 28
- Median at 32°F
- last April 29, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 19, first October 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 20°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 |
| 20°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 161 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 121 |
| 32°F | 180 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 138 |
| 28°F | 204 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 168 | 160 |
| 24°F | 230 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 185 |
| 20°F | 252 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 209 |
| 16°F | 271 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 235 | 228 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,466
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 799
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,211
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,078
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,067
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,180
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,420
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,342 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,099 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 849 | 1 | 28 |
| April | 473 | 5 | 103 |
| May | 180 | 61 | 355 |
| June | 24 | 189 | 615 |
| July | 5 | 254 | 715 |
| August | 11 | 197 | 651 |
| September | 112 | 82 | 424 |
| October | 411 | 11 | 152 |
| November | 788 | 0 | 21 |
| December | 1,173 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.4 km from Forreston. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00116897 (Polo 5NW). Public domain.