Forest Lake Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mundelein 4 Wsw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 172 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 29, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 163 | 158 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 141 | 136 | 128 |
| 32°F | 193 | 186 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 157 | 150 |
| 28°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 172 |
| 24°F | 240 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 199 |
| 20°F | 260 | 253 | 247 | 243 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 218 |
| 16°F | 281 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 257 | 253 | 247 | 243 | 234 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,875
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 693
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,828
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,742
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,783
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,952
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,252
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,358 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,131 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 931 | 1 | 18 |
| April | 566 | 4 | 71 |
| May | 265 | 39 | 268 |
| June | 55 | 141 | 536 |
| July | 11 | 234 | 688 |
| August | 13 | 193 | 645 |
| September | 126 | 74 | 402 |
| October | 437 | 8 | 132 |
| November | 800 | 0 | 19 |
| December | 1,181 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.5 km from Forest Lake. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00115961 (Mundelein 4 Wsw). Public domain.