Bond County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carlyle Rsvr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 204 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 17, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 28°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 203 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 164 |
| 32°F | 227 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 185 |
| 28°F | 249 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 204 |
| 24°F | 275 | 266 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 239 | 233 | 225 |
| 20°F | 294 | 286 | 280 | 274 | 269 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 244 |
| 16°F | 316 | 307 | 300 | 294 | 289 | 284 | 277 | 271 | 262 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,780
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,438
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,686
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,365
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,186
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,139
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,222
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,075 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 844 | 0 | 12 |
| March | 634 | 4 | 68 |
| April | 302 | 22 | 223 |
| May | 90 | 117 | 495 |
| June | 7 | 302 | 745 |
| July | 0 | 409 | 874 |
| August | 1 | 367 | 831 |
| September | 41 | 177 | 587 |
| October | 258 | 38 | 275 |
| November | 593 | 2 | 63 |
| December | 936 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 29.8 km from Bond County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00111290 (Carlyle Rsvr). Public domain.