Ashland Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Petersburg 1E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 189 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 187 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 150 |
| 32°F | 209 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 170 |
| 28°F | 233 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 190 |
| 24°F | 255 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 216 | 210 |
| 20°F | 274 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 251 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 228 |
| 16°F | 294 | 286 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 252 | 244 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,644
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,056
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,852
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,640
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,563
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,607
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,773
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,213 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 982 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 758 | 0 | 28 |
| April | 385 | 10 | 167 |
| May | 126 | 79 | 424 |
| June | 8 | 225 | 667 |
| July | 1 | 325 | 788 |
| August | 3 | 269 | 731 |
| September | 70 | 125 | 505 |
| October | 342 | 21 | 207 |
| November | 698 | 2 | 39 |
| December | 1,058 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.6 km from Ashland. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00116765 (Petersburg 1E). Public domain.