Ashkum Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Watseka 2 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 16, a growing season of about 174 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 16
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 145 | 139 | 133 |
| 32°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 160 | 153 |
| 28°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 176 |
| 24°F | 242 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 219 | 214 | 211 | 206 | 198 |
| 20°F | 266 | 259 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 219 |
| 16°F | 290 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 237 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,047
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 892
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,468
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,296
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,256
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,334
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,542
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,268 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,039 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 806 | 2 | 34 |
| April | 449 | 8 | 121 |
| May | 169 | 71 | 377 |
| June | 24 | 202 | 629 |
| July | 4 | 275 | 736 |
| August | 9 | 214 | 670 |
| September | 90 | 103 | 466 |
| October | 371 | 17 | 184 |
| November | 726 | 0 | 34 |
| December | 1,094 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.4 km from Ashkum. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00119021 (Watseka 2 Nw). Public domain.