Alexis Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Monmouth. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 174 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first October 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 135 |
| 32°F | 192 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 153 |
| 28°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 174 |
| 24°F | 238 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 196 |
| 20°F | 258 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 217 |
| 16°F | 279 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 234 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,099
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 891
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,498
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,329
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,283
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,356
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,555
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,300 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,051 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 795 | 1 | 36 |
| April | 421 | 8 | 137 |
| May | 161 | 64 | 378 |
| June | 20 | 192 | 622 |
| July | 3 | 277 | 739 |
| August | 8 | 229 | 687 |
| September | 90 | 103 | 466 |
| October | 371 | 15 | 183 |
| November | 753 | 0 | 31 |
| December | 1,127 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.9 km from Alexis. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00115768 (Monmouth). Public domain.