Alexander County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cape Girardeau Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 5 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 17, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 5, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last March 26, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 21 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 199 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 161 |
| 32°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 182 |
| 28°F | 249 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 200 |
| 24°F | 274 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 231 | 224 |
| 20°F | 304 | 293 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 267 | 261 | 253 | 245 |
| 16°F | 332 | 321 | 312 | 306 | 300 | 292 | 285 | 277 | 265 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,177
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,566
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,107
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,712
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,462
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,356
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,391
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 942 | 0 | 11 |
| February | 730 | 0 | 21 |
| March | 541 | 4 | 94 |
| April | 242 | 29 | 266 |
| May | 60 | 147 | 552 |
| June | 2 | 340 | 787 |
| July | 0 | 442 | 907 |
| August | 1 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 37 | 179 | 593 |
| October | 238 | 39 | 290 |
| November | 550 | 3 | 75 |
| December | 835 | 0 | 18 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.9 km from Alexander County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003935 (Cape Girardeau Muni AP). Public domain.