Plummer Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Plummer 3 Wsw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 11 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 143 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 7, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 11, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 22, first October 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 24 | May 15 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | May 28 | May 21 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 9 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 25 | Sep 4 | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 15 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 132 | 120 | 114 | 109 | 103 | 98 | 91 | 84 | 74 |
| 32°F | 169 | 161 | 155 | 150 | 143 | 137 | 130 | 122 | 111 |
| 28°F | 207 | 198 | 192 | 186 | 181 | 175 | 170 | 163 | 153 |
| 24°F | 248 | 240 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 217 | 211 | 202 | 192 |
| 20°F | 282 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 236 | 224 |
| 16°F | 314 | 301 | 292 | 285 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 260 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,000
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 278
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,623
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,585
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,748
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,089
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 601
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,079 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 917 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 837 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 613 | 0 | 26 |
| May | 388 | 3 | 135 |
| June | 250 | 15 | 229 |
| July | 69 | 117 | 514 |
| August | 63 | 117 | 520 |
| September | 224 | 26 | 266 |
| October | 574 | 1 | 54 |
| November | 861 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,125 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.7 km from Plummer. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00107188 (Plummer 3 Wsw). Public domain.