Pinehurst Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kellogg. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around September 26, a growing season of about 131 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 2, first September 10
- Median at 32°F
- last May 14, first September 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 22 | May 16 |
| 32°F | Jun 3 | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 26 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 28°F | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 |
| 20°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Oct 28 | Nov 5 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 121 | 113 | 108 | 102 | 97 | 92 | 86 | 79 | 68 |
| 32°F | 152 | 145 | 140 | 136 | 131 | 126 | 121 | 115 | 106 |
| 28°F | 184 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 149 | 140 |
| 24°F | 226 | 216 | 209 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 181 | 172 |
| 20°F | 266 | 256 | 249 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 218 | 209 |
| 16°F | 296 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 259 | 253 | 245 | 236 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,932
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 293
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,701
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,678
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,843
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,163
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 646
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,105 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 923 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 826 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 599 | 0 | 28 |
| May | 343 | 7 | 171 |
| June | 174 | 35 | 315 |
| July | 48 | 131 | 549 |
| August | 59 | 107 | 514 |
| September | 248 | 14 | 232 |
| October | 612 | 0 | 32 |
| November | 882 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,114 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.6 km from Pinehurst. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00104831 (Kellogg). Public domain.