Oakley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oakley. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around October 2, a growing season of about 137 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 2, first September 22
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first October 2
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 19 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 26 | May 21 | May 16 |
| 32°F | Jun 6 | May 30 | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 134 | 126 | 120 | 115 | 110 | 105 | 100 | 94 | 85 |
| 32°F | 161 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 137 | 132 | 127 | 120 | 111 |
| 28°F | 190 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 164 | 159 | 153 | 144 |
| 24°F | 222 | 213 | 208 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 179 | 171 |
| 20°F | 251 | 241 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 212 | 204 | 194 |
| 16°F | 284 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 236 | 225 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,115
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 529
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,586
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,422
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,445
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,648
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,011
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,065 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 858 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 719 | 0 | 14 |
| April | 536 | 0 | 52 |
| May | 313 | 8 | 195 |
| June | 120 | 60 | 393 |
| July | 16 | 217 | 666 |
| August | 21 | 193 | 637 |
| September | 141 | 49 | 366 |
| October | 451 | 2 | 111 |
| November | 792 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 1,083 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.6 km from Oakley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00106542 (Oakley). Public domain.