Mullan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mullan. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 12 and the first fall freeze around September 30, a growing season of about 138 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 7, first September 15
- Median at 32°F
- last May 12, first September 30
- Median at 28°F
- last April 24, first October 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 6 | Jun 26 | Jun 18 | Jun 13 | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 22 | May 14 |
| 32°F | Jun 19 | Jun 1 | May 23 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 26 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 31 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Oct 23 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 3 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 125 | 117 | 110 | 104 | 98 | 92 | 86 | 77 | 65 |
| 32°F | 163 | 155 | 149 | 143 | 138 | 131 | 122 | 114 | 99 |
| 28°F | 204 | 195 | 186 | 181 | 175 | 170 | 164 | 156 | 144 |
| 24°F | 244 | 233 | 227 | 220 | 214 | 207 | 200 | 191 | 182 |
| 20°F | 279 | 267 | 259 | 253 | 246 | 240 | 233 | 226 | 214 |
| 16°F | 306 | 295 | 286 | 278 | 271 | 264 | 257 | 247 | 236 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,417
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 202
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,358
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,388
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,593
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 959
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 497
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,122 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 967 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 885 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 644 | 0 | 25 |
| May | 385 | 5 | 142 |
| June | 229 | 22 | 255 |
| July | 84 | 84 | 466 |
| August | 84 | 74 | 457 |
| September | 278 | 16 | 214 |
| October | 639 | 0 | 32 |
| November | 927 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,173 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.8 km from Mullan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00106230 (Mullan). Public domain.