Jerome Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jerome. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 2 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 166 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 15, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 2, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | May 31 | May 25 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 30 | May 16 | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | May 10 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 24 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 15 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 160 | 153 | 148 | 142 | 138 | 133 | 127 | 120 | 110 |
| 32°F | 188 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 155 | 148 | 136 |
| 28°F | 217 | 209 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 183 | 177 | 166 |
| 24°F | 255 | 246 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 220 | 214 | 206 | 196 |
| 20°F | 283 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 236 | 224 |
| 16°F | 310 | 301 | 294 | 288 | 282 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,177
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 776
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,886
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,749
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,783
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,975
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,309
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,127 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 895 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 738 | 0 | 11 |
| April | 517 | 1 | 62 |
| May | 270 | 22 | 243 |
| June | 93 | 109 | 469 |
| July | 10 | 312 | 767 |
| August | 14 | 258 | 708 |
| September | 124 | 70 | 402 |
| October | 453 | 4 | 112 |
| November | 816 | 0 | 9 |
| December | 1,120 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.9 km from Jerome. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00104670 (Jerome). Public domain.