Hagerman Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hagerman 2 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 151 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 19, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 28°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 17 |
| 16°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 4 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 31 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 144 | 136 | 131 | 126 | 121 | 117 | 111 | 105 | 97 |
| 32°F | 171 | 164 | 158 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 137 | 128 |
| 28°F | 199 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 156 |
| 24°F | 233 | 225 | 218 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 191 | 184 |
| 20°F | 268 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 242 | 235 | 229 | 220 | 210 |
| 16°F | 306 | 294 | 286 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 254 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,883
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 671
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,897
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,712
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,709
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,879
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,203
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,080 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 848 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 682 | 0 | 14 |
| April | 484 | 1 | 65 |
| May | 239 | 19 | 259 |
| June | 74 | 99 | 476 |
| July | 6 | 282 | 741 |
| August | 12 | 220 | 673 |
| September | 125 | 48 | 378 |
| October | 454 | 1 | 97 |
| November | 797 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,082 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2 km from Hagerman. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00103932 (Hagerman 2 Sw). Public domain.