Grace Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grace. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 29 and the first fall freeze around September 17, a growing season of about 111 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 16, first September 4
- Median at 32°F
- last May 29, first September 17
- Median at 28°F
- last May 9, first October 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 5 | Jun 28 | Jun 24 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 4 | May 29 |
| 32°F | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 11 |
| 28°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 22 | Aug 27 | Aug 31 | Sep 2 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 19 |
| 32°F | Sep 1 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 28°F | Sep 15 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 24°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 20°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 102 | 94 | 88 | 83 | 78 | 73 | 68 | 63 | 53 |
| 32°F | 136 | 126 | 120 | 115 | 111 | 106 | 100 | 94 | 86 |
| 28°F | 165 | 158 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 129 | 121 |
| 24°F | 192 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 167 | 162 | 157 | 149 |
| 20°F | 219 | 212 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 188 | 183 | 175 |
| 16°F | 246 | 237 | 231 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 206 | 199 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,955
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 238
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,500
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,546
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,749
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,099
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 589
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,336 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,119 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 967 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 684 | 0 | 18 |
| May | 441 | 1 | 107 |
| June | 194 | 20 | 289 |
| July | 35 | 117 | 547 |
| August | 49 | 89 | 506 |
| September | 246 | 10 | 240 |
| October | 614 | 0 | 41 |
| November | 968 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,302 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.3 km from Grace. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00103732 (Grace). Public domain.