Elmore County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hill City 1 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 16 and the first fall freeze around September 6, a growing season of about 80 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 16, first September 6
- Median at 28°F
- last May 30, first September 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jul 3 | Jun 27 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | May 31 |
| 28°F | Jun 21 | Jun 14 | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 23 | May 17 | May 12 | May 6 |
| 24°F | May 30 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 20 | Aug 28 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 22 |
| 28°F | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 24°F | Sep 10 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 |
| 20°F | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Nov 2 |
| 16°F | Oct 4 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 76 | 68 | 63 | 59 | 54 | 50 | 45 | 39 | 32 |
| 32°F | 103 | 95 | 90 | 85 | 80 | 75 | 70 | 64 | 57 |
| 28°F | 136 | 126 | 119 | 114 | 109 | 104 | 98 | 91 | 82 |
| 24°F | 170 | 162 | 156 | 151 | 145 | 140 | 134 | 128 | 116 |
| 20°F | 205 | 195 | 189 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 167 | 160 | 149 |
| 16°F | 235 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 200 | 194 | 185 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,513
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 182
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,238
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,313
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,547
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 934
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 479
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,423 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,211 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,040 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 704 | 0 | 11 |
| May | 465 | 0 | 90 |
| June | 240 | 12 | 238 |
| July | 60 | 91 | 496 |
| August | 73 | 72 | 464 |
| September | 269 | 8 | 213 |
| October | 640 | 0 | 34 |
| November | 1,010 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,379 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 32.6 km from Elmore County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00104268 (Hill City 1 W). Public domain.