Arco Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Arco. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 22 and the first fall freeze around September 22, a growing season of about 119 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 7, first September 10
- Median at 32°F
- last May 22, first September 22
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 28 | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 22 |
| 32°F | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 5 |
| 28°F | May 24 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 20 |
| 24°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 27 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 25 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 4 | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 24°F | Sep 28 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 20°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 117 | 108 | 102 | 97 | 92 | 87 | 82 | 76 | 65 |
| 32°F | 142 | 135 | 129 | 124 | 119 | 114 | 108 | 102 | 92 |
| 28°F | 169 | 162 | 156 | 151 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 132 | 124 |
| 24°F | 200 | 191 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 151 |
| 20°F | 228 | 220 | 214 | 208 | 204 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 177 |
| 16°F | 251 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 216 | 209 | 201 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,053
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 313
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,715
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,744
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,923
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,246
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 705
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,437 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,170 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 950 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 636 | 0 | 21 |
| May | 382 | 4 | 142 |
| June | 153 | 35 | 338 |
| July | 27 | 154 | 592 |
| August | 40 | 106 | 532 |
| September | 225 | 14 | 256 |
| October | 620 | 0 | 42 |
| November | 1,025 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,387 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.2 km from Arco. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00100375 (Arco). Public domain.