Arbon Valley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pocatello Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 18, a growing season of about 117 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 11, first September 7
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 18
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 28 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 23 |
| 32°F | Jun 13 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 6 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
| 24°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 25 | Aug 30 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 |
| 32°F | Sep 3 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 14 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 8 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 107 | 101 | 95 | 91 | 86 | 82 | 78 | 72 | 65 |
| 32°F | 142 | 134 | 128 | 123 | 117 | 112 | 107 | 99 | 91 |
| 28°F | 169 | 162 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 137 | 131 | 124 |
| 24°F | 202 | 193 | 187 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 165 | 159 | 150 |
| 20°F | 239 | 230 | 222 | 216 | 211 | 205 | 199 | 192 | 181 |
| 16°F | 267 | 258 | 251 | 246 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 221 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,954
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 431
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,154
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,088
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,194
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,461
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 874
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,220 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 990 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 802 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 579 | 0 | 33 |
| May | 340 | 5 | 171 |
| June | 129 | 46 | 371 |
| July | 16 | 195 | 645 |
| August | 25 | 158 | 598 |
| September | 186 | 27 | 304 |
| October | 554 | 0 | 64 |
| November | 902 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,215 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.3 km from Arbon Valley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00024156 (Pocatello Rgnl AP). Public domain.