Plains Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Plains Sw Ga Exp Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 17, a growing season of about 249 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 31, first November 6
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 17
- Median at 28°F
- last February 28, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 |
| 28°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 24 | Jan 3 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 23 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 25 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Dec 14 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 24 | Jan 30 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 249 | 240 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 206 | 199 |
| 32°F | 278 | 268 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 231 | 223 |
| 28°F | 315 | 304 | 294 | 288 | 281 | 275 | 267 | 260 | 249 |
| 24°F | 349 | 336 | 329 | 321 | 312 | 305 | 298 | 289 | 277 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 358 | 348 | 340 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 306 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 351 | 340 | 329 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 76% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 39% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,231
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,063
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,032
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,338
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,771
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,356
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,114
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 560 | 2 | 80 |
| February | 415 | 3 | 102 |
| March | 272 | 21 | 249 |
| April | 108 | 65 | 410 |
| May | 16 | 225 | 674 |
| June | 0 | 392 | 842 |
| July | 0 | 482 | 947 |
| August | 0 | 451 | 916 |
| September | 4 | 303 | 748 |
| October | 88 | 100 | 481 |
| November | 291 | 17 | 211 |
| December | 478 | 4 | 111 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.5 km from Plains. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00097087 (Plains Sw Ga Exp Stn). Public domain.