Leary Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Newton 8 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 11 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 245 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 27, first November 2
- Median at 32°F
- last March 11, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last February 27, first November 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 28°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 8 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 11 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 2 |
| 28°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 28 |
| 24°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 18 | Jan 30 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 | Jan 28 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 245 | 236 | 230 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 204 | 196 |
| 32°F | 271 | 262 | 255 | 249 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 228 | 219 |
| 28°F | 307 | 294 | 286 | 279 | 272 | 267 | 261 | 254 | 243 |
| 24°F | 344 | 333 | 324 | 315 | 308 | 301 | 293 | 282 | 269 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 360 | 347 | 339 | 333 | 326 | 315 | 305 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 345 | 331 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 72% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 31% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,910
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,255
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,517
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,791
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,180
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,707
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,389
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 497 | 6 | 115 |
| February | 355 | 8 | 143 |
| March | 205 | 33 | 310 |
| April | 76 | 80 | 457 |
| May | 9 | 257 | 713 |
| June | 0 | 411 | 861 |
| July | 0 | 498 | 962 |
| August | 0 | 474 | 939 |
| September | 2 | 331 | 778 |
| October | 65 | 123 | 524 |
| November | 266 | 25 | 237 |
| December | 434 | 10 | 141 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.7 km from Leary. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00063828 (Newton 8 W). Public domain.