Baconton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Albany 3 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 10 and the first fall freeze around November 20, a growing season of about 257 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 23, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 10, first November 20
- Median at 28°F
- last February 21, first December 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 32°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
| 28°F | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 |
| 24°F | Mar 7 | Feb 26 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 12 | Dec 31 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Jan 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 12 |
| 28°F | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 |
| 24°F | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 14 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 10 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
| 16°F | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 20 | Jan 24 | Jan 31 | Feb 3 | Feb 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 258 | 250 | 244 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 208 |
| 32°F | 293 | 279 | 270 | 264 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 240 | 231 |
| 28°F | 329 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 293 | 286 | 278 | 267 | 257 |
| 24°F | 365 | 353 | 341 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 310 | 303 | 289 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 350 | 339 | 332 | 319 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 346 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 51% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 13% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,972
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,375
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,579
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,855
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,249
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,793
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,494
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 518 | 3 | 98 |
| February | 366 | 7 | 130 |
| March | 232 | 31 | 288 |
| April | 83 | 89 | 458 |
| May | 10 | 263 | 718 |
| June | 0 | 429 | 879 |
| July | 0 | 524 | 989 |
| August | 0 | 501 | 966 |
| September | 1 | 358 | 807 |
| October | 64 | 138 | 541 |
| November | 262 | 25 | 240 |
| December | 435 | 7 | 135 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.2 km from Baconton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00090140 (Albany 3 Se). Public domain.