Yulee Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fernandina Beach. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 2 and the first fall freeze around January 4, a growing season of about 333 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 18, first December 19
- Median at 32°F
- last February 2, first January 4
- Median at 28°F
- last January 26, first January 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 19 |
| 32°F | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 2 |
| 28°F | Feb 19 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Feb 15 | Feb 5 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 13 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 |
| 32°F | Dec 10 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 24 | Feb 3 |
| 28°F | Dec 19 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 18 | Jan 26 | Feb 1 | Feb 10 |
| 24°F | Dec 25 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 19 | Jan 24 | Jan 29 | Feb 1 | Feb 14 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 334 | 326 | 317 | 308 | 303 | 297 | 290 | 281 | 270 |
| 32°F | 365 | 358 | 347 | 339 | 333 | 327 | 319 | 308 | 299 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 352 | 342 | 333 | 320 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 343 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 52% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 20% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,066
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,918
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,984
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,181
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,424
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,768
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,254
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 326 | 11 | 196 |
| February | 225 | 18 | 231 |
| March | 121 | 64 | 413 |
| April | 32 | 140 | 558 |
| May | 2 | 337 | 800 |
| June | 0 | 471 | 921 |
| July | 0 | 552 | 1,017 |
| August | 0 | 533 | 998 |
| September | 0 | 438 | 888 |
| October | 13 | 251 | 704 |
| November | 98 | 76 | 430 |
| December | 249 | 27 | 270 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.2 km from Yulee. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00082944 (Fernandina Beach). Public domain.