Youngstown Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Panama City 5N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 15 and the first fall freeze around December 12, a growing season of about 301 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 2, first November 25
- Median at 32°F
- last February 15, first December 12
- Median at 28°F
- last January 31, first January 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 |
| 32°F | Mar 11 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Feb 28 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 10 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Feb 3 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 18 |
| 32°F | Nov 16 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 |
| 28°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Jan 29 | Feb 4 |
| 20°F | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 15 | Jan 22 | Jan 27 | Jan 31 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 299 | 287 | 278 | 272 | 265 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 239 |
| 32°F | 335 | 324 | 314 | 307 | 301 | 294 | 284 | 276 | 263 |
| 28°F | 365 | 358 | 347 | 338 | 334 | 326 | 318 | 309 | 298 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 339 | 329 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 84% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 49% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 14% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,288
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,903
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,754
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,970
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,249
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,643
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,186
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 369 | 13 | 177 |
| February | 248 | 16 | 215 |
| March | 142 | 55 | 385 |
| April | 38 | 135 | 548 |
| May | 3 | 327 | 789 |
| June | 0 | 483 | 933 |
| July | 0 | 560 | 1,025 |
| August | 0 | 552 | 1,017 |
| September | 0 | 451 | 901 |
| October | 27 | 235 | 673 |
| November | 154 | 55 | 360 |
| December | 306 | 21 | 227 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.9 km from Youngstown. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00086842 (Panama City 5N). Public domain.