Tavares Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lisbon. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 2 and the first fall freeze around January 3, a growing season of about 327 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 20, first December 15
- Median at 32°F
- last February 2, first January 3
- Median at 28°F
- last January 21, first January 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 18 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
| 32°F | Mar 5 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 |
| 28°F | Feb 16 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 19 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 6 | Jan 16 |
| 32°F | Dec 2 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Feb 3 |
| 28°F | Dec 13 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 22 | Jan 29 | Feb 3 |
| 24°F | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 22 | Jan 28 | Jan 31 | Feb 9 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 332 | 321 | 310 | 303 | 297 | 290 | 282 | 274 | 264 |
| 32°F | 365 | 351 | 340 | 333 | 327 | 321 | 313 | 304 | 292 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 352 | 341 | 332 | 320 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 87% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 51% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 16% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 923
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,821
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,029
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,223
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,456
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,772
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,210
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 285 | 20 | 239 |
| February | 182 | 30 | 284 |
| March | 103 | 75 | 441 |
| April | 24 | 162 | 588 |
| May | 2 | 326 | 789 |
| June | 0 | 438 | 888 |
| July | 0 | 499 | 964 |
| August | 0 | 501 | 966 |
| September | 0 | 419 | 868 |
| October | 15 | 247 | 698 |
| November | 98 | 73 | 428 |
| December | 216 | 33 | 304 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.5 km from Tavares. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00085076 (Lisbon). Public domain.