St. Johns Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jacksonville Nas. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 1 and the first fall freeze around January 5, a growing season of about 330 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 18, first December 17
- Median at 32°F
- last February 1, first January 5
- Median at 28°F
- last January 22, first January 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 |
| 32°F | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 11 | Dec 31 |
| 28°F | Feb 19 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Dec 28 |
| 24°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 20 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 | Jan 22 |
| 32°F | Dec 3 | Dec 12 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 | Feb 6 |
| 28°F | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 27 | Feb 1 | Feb 12 |
| 24°F | Dec 15 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 19 | Jan 25 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 334 | 324 | 315 | 308 | 302 | 294 | 285 | 276 | 265 |
| 32°F | 365 | 359 | 349 | 338 | 330 | 325 | 315 | 308 | 299 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 349 | 336 | 325 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 80% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 43% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 13% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 2% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 944
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,303
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,489
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,683
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,918
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,236
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,688
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 290 | 22 | 237 |
| February | 186 | 33 | 281 |
| March | 106 | 95 | 459 |
| April | 24 | 198 | 624 |
| May | 1 | 390 | 854 |
| June | 0 | 510 | 960 |
| July | 0 | 586 | 1,051 |
| August | 0 | 580 | 1,045 |
| September | 0 | 475 | 925 |
| October | 12 | 285 | 738 |
| November | 99 | 90 | 444 |
| December | 226 | 39 | 300 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.3 km from St. Johns. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093837 (Jacksonville Nas). Public domain.