Sorrento Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mt Plymouth 1SSW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 24 and the first fall freeze around December 29, a growing season of about 301 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 12, first December 7
- Median at 32°F
- last February 24, first December 29
- Median at 28°F
- last February 3, first January 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 | Feb 12 |
| 32°F | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 |
| 28°F | Mar 6 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 |
| 24°F | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 2 |
| 20°F | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 11 | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 6 |
| 32°F | Nov 29 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 27 |
| 28°F | Dec 12 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 23 | Jan 31 | Feb 9 |
| 24°F | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 18 | Jan 24 | Jan 29 | Feb 4 | Feb 12 |
| 20°F | Dec 24 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 25 | Jan 28 | Feb 1 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 306 | 294 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 265 | 258 | 249 | 238 |
| 32°F | 335 | 325 | 315 | 307 | 301 | 293 | 285 | 277 | 266 |
| 28°F | 365 | 358 | 347 | 337 | 332 | 325 | 315 | 306 | 295 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 347 | 337 | 329 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 80% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 42% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 12% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 828
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,134
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,438
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,629
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,857
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,159
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,569
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 257 | 28 | 273 |
| February | 177 | 53 | 313 |
| March | 97 | 78 | 450 |
| April | 23 | 166 | 593 |
| May | 1 | 344 | 808 |
| June | 0 | 475 | 925 |
| July | 0 | 550 | 1,015 |
| August | 0 | 541 | 1,006 |
| September | 0 | 456 | 906 |
| October | 15 | 277 | 727 |
| November | 79 | 119 | 492 |
| December | 180 | 49 | 349 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.8 km from Sorrento. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00087228 (Mt Plymouth 1SSW). Public domain.