Sneads Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Marianna Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 1 and the first fall freeze around November 27, a growing season of about 270 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 16, first November 13
- Median at 32°F
- last March 1, first November 27
- Median at 28°F
- last February 9, first December 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 5 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 |
| 32°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 |
| 28°F | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Feb 27 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 | Dec 28 |
| 20°F | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 28 |
| 28°F | Nov 19 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 21 |
| 24°F | Dec 4 | Dec 14 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 5 |
| 20°F | Dec 11 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 23 | Jan 30 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 268 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 217 |
| 32°F | 305 | 294 | 285 | 278 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 250 | 243 |
| 28°F | 345 | 335 | 324 | 315 | 308 | 300 | 291 | 281 | 270 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 363 | 350 | 340 | 334 | 328 | 316 | 305 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 347 | 333 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 73% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 34% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 7% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,522
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,755
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,381
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,615
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,933
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,384
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,983
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 420 | 11 | 153 |
| February | 285 | 17 | 192 |
| March | 161 | 50 | 364 |
| April | 49 | 127 | 529 |
| May | 3 | 339 | 801 |
| June | 0 | 484 | 934 |
| July | 0 | 549 | 1,014 |
| August | 0 | 530 | 995 |
| September | 1 | 410 | 859 |
| October | 41 | 183 | 606 |
| November | 201 | 38 | 301 |
| December | 363 | 17 | 184 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 28.5 km from Sneads. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003818 (Marianna Muni AP). Public domain.