Sky Lake Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Orlando Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 25 and the first fall freeze around January 10, a growing season of about 355 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 5, first January 1
- Median at 32°F
- last January 25, first January 10
- Median at 28°F
- last January 16, first January 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 |
| 32°F | Feb 26 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Dec 30 |
| 28°F | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 28 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 20 | Jan 31 |
| 32°F | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 22 | Jan 30 | Feb 10 |
| 28°F | Dec 24 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 9 | Jan 13 | Jan 18 | Jan 23 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 358 | 347 | 338 | 333 | 326 | 318 | 310 | 302 | 290 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 355 | 348 | 339 | 332 | 317 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 343 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 61% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 23% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 4% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 525
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,452
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,053
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,233
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,428
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,665
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,990
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 180 | 46 | 345 |
| February | 105 | 67 | 386 |
| March | 54 | 127 | 539 |
| April | 10 | 224 | 665 |
| May | 1 | 383 | 848 |
| June | 0 | 486 | 936 |
| July | 0 | 546 | 1,011 |
| August | 0 | 547 | 1,012 |
| September | 0 | 480 | 930 |
| October | 6 | 329 | 789 |
| November | 43 | 140 | 548 |
| December | 127 | 76 | 421 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.9 km from Sky Lake. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00012815 (Orlando Intl AP). Public domain.