Saint Johns County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for St Augustine Lighthouse. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 1 and the first fall freeze around January 5, a growing season of about 334 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 17, first December 20
- Median at 32°F
- last February 1, first January 5
- Median at 28°F
- last January 25, first January 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 14 |
| 32°F | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
| 28°F | Feb 22 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 26 |
| 24°F | Feb 18 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | Dec 27 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 20 |
| 32°F | Dec 7 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 27 | Feb 10 |
| 28°F | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 | Jan 27 | Feb 2 | Feb 13 |
| 24°F | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 29 | Feb 4 | Feb 9 | Feb 16 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 337 | 326 | 317 | 310 | 304 | 297 | 291 | 282 | 271 |
| 32°F | 365 | 362 | 352 | 342 | 334 | 326 | 317 | 308 | 297 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 352 | 339 | 323 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 79% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 41% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 12% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 803
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,079
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,405
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,592
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,809
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,095
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,503
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 248 | 21 | 264 |
| February | 168 | 27 | 288 |
| March | 92 | 77 | 453 |
| April | 20 | 176 | 606 |
| May | 1 | 350 | 814 |
| June | 0 | 464 | 914 |
| July | 0 | 539 | 1,004 |
| August | 0 | 529 | 994 |
| September | 0 | 457 | 907 |
| October | 9 | 292 | 749 |
| November | 73 | 109 | 488 |
| December | 191 | 39 | 329 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.1 km from Saint Johns County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00087826 (St Augustine Lighthouse). Public domain.