Paxton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Florala Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 4 and the first fall freeze around November 26, a growing season of about 265 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 19, first November 11
- Median at 32°F
- last March 4, first November 26
- Median at 28°F
- last February 15, first December 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 7 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 |
| 32°F | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 6 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 |
| 24°F | Mar 1 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 5 | Dec 27 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 25 |
| 28°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 19 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 10 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 | Jan 21 | Feb 3 |
| 20°F | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 21 | Jan 30 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 268 | 257 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 213 |
| 32°F | 299 | 287 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 247 | 239 |
| 28°F | 336 | 324 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 292 | 286 | 275 | 263 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 352 | 343 | 335 | 328 | 316 | 306 | 292 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 351 | 339 | 325 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 81% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 39% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 8% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,599
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,591
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,144
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,390
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,728
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,190
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,798
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 434 | 11 | 150 |
| February | 299 | 13 | 183 |
| March | 173 | 47 | 350 |
| April | 49 | 110 | 511 |
| May | 4 | 303 | 764 |
| June | 0 | 454 | 904 |
| July | 0 | 530 | 995 |
| August | 0 | 528 | 993 |
| September | 1 | 402 | 852 |
| October | 48 | 152 | 569 |
| November | 206 | 29 | 285 |
| December | 385 | 12 | 171 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.7 km from Paxton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00063870 (Florala Muni AP). Public domain.