Moore Haven Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Moore Haven Lock 1. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 23 and the first fall freeze around January 11, a growing season of about 361 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 4, first January 5
- Median at 32°F
- last January 23, first January 11
- Median at 28°F
- last January 16, first January 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 3 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 |
| 32°F | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Dec 30 |
| 28°F | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 13 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 28 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 10 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 25 | Feb 3 |
| 32°F | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 22 | Jan 29 | Feb 7 |
| 28°F | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 25 | Jan 29 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 365 | 354 | 344 | 335 | 331 | 322 | 314 | 306 | 296 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 352 | 342 | 334 | 321 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 344 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 54% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 17% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 4% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 418
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,440
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,148
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,327
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,514
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,734
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,026
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 145 | 58 | 388 |
| February | 87 | 78 | 414 |
| March | 50 | 129 | 544 |
| April | 10 | 229 | 669 |
| May | 1 | 362 | 826 |
| June | 0 | 455 | 905 |
| July | 0 | 513 | 978 |
| August | 0 | 525 | 990 |
| September | 0 | 477 | 927 |
| October | 3 | 351 | 814 |
| November | 28 | 163 | 585 |
| December | 96 | 100 | 474 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1 km from Moore Haven. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00085895 (Moore Haven Lock 1). Public domain.