Milton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Whiting Field Nas South. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 28 and the first fall freeze around November 27, a growing season of about 276 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 16, first November 14
- Median at 32°F
- last February 28, first November 27
- Median at 28°F
- last February 13, first December 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 5 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
| 32°F | Mar 23 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 |
| 28°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 9 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | Dec 27 |
| 20°F | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 32°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 | Jan 2 |
| 28°F | Nov 19 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 29 |
| 24°F | Dec 3 | Dec 16 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Jan 30 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | Dec 10 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 20 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 277 | 266 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 235 | 228 | 219 |
| 32°F | 314 | 300 | 291 | 283 | 276 | 269 | 263 | 256 | 245 |
| 28°F | 350 | 336 | 328 | 319 | 311 | 305 | 297 | 287 | 275 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 346 | 337 | 330 | 320 | 307 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 334 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 68% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 30% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 7% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,348
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,911
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,706
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,926
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,226
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,640
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,195
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 380 | 16 | 181 |
| February | 253 | 24 | 226 |
| March | 142 | 63 | 392 |
| April | 40 | 132 | 542 |
| May | 4 | 311 | 772 |
| June | 0 | 498 | 948 |
| July | 0 | 580 | 1,045 |
| August | 0 | 561 | 1,026 |
| September | 0 | 443 | 892 |
| October | 32 | 206 | 639 |
| November | 173 | 52 | 340 |
| December | 322 | 26 | 224 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.2 km from Milton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00053847 (Whiting Field Nas South). Public domain.