Madison County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Madison. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 5 and the first fall freeze around November 29, a growing season of about 273 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 18, first November 17
- Median at 32°F
- last March 5, first November 29
- Median at 28°F
- last February 14, first December 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 5 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 |
| 32°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 3 |
| 28°F | Mar 15 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 10 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 32°F | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 28 |
| 28°F | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 19 |
| 24°F | Dec 3 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | Dec 12 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 20 | Jan 30 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 275 | 265 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 219 |
| 32°F | 309 | 297 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 253 | 243 |
| 28°F | 343 | 330 | 322 | 314 | 305 | 297 | 289 | 280 | 267 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 355 | 344 | 336 | 330 | 321 | 311 | 301 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 341 | 328 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 77% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 36% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 8% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,510
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,506
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,149
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,386
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,701
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,138
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,728
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 423 | 8 | 145 |
| February | 284 | 12 | 190 |
| March | 168 | 41 | 351 |
| April | 54 | 114 | 511 |
| May | 6 | 288 | 747 |
| June | 0 | 438 | 888 |
| July | 0 | 502 | 967 |
| August | 0 | 499 | 964 |
| September | 1 | 374 | 823 |
| October | 40 | 173 | 599 |
| November | 188 | 42 | 321 |
| December | 347 | 14 | 195 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.9 km from Madison County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00085275 (Madison). Public domain.