Jupiter Island Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Port Salerno 5W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
A freeze (32°F or colder) happens in only 33 percent of years at Port Salerno 5W, so there is no typical freeze season.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 3, first January 12
- Median at 32°F
- last January 26, first January 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 3 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 |
| 32°F | Feb 18 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 20 | Jan 28 | Feb 3 | Feb 13 |
| 32°F | Dec 26 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 23 | Jan 29 | Feb 2 | Feb 10 |
| 28°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 351 | 337 | 331 | 324 | 315 | 305 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 346 | 333 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 71% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 33% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 8% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 337
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,528
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,317
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,494
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,678
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,884
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,149
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 113 | 71 | 430 |
| February | 75 | 89 | 436 |
| March | 41 | 139 | 563 |
| April | 8 | 228 | 671 |
| May | 0 | 357 | 822 |
| June | 0 | 456 | 906 |
| July | 0 | 515 | 980 |
| August | 0 | 538 | 1,003 |
| September | 0 | 464 | 914 |
| October | 2 | 368 | 831 |
| November | 22 | 190 | 618 |
| December | 76 | 115 | 507 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.7 km from Jupiter Island. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00087304 (Port Salerno 5W). Public domain.