June Park Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Melbourne WFO. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 24 and the first fall freeze around January 9, a growing season of about 359 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 6, first January 2
- Median at 32°F
- last January 24, first January 9
- Median at 28°F
- last January 15, first January 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 9 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 |
| 32°F | Feb 24 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 |
| 28°F | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 6 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 | Feb 3 |
| 32°F | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 22 | Jan 31 | Feb 13 |
| 28°F | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Jan 31 | Feb 5 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 360 | 347 | 337 | 331 | 324 | 316 | 309 | 301 | 290 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 338 | 329 | 316 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 345 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 91% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 57% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 20% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 2% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 501
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,402
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,027
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,206
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,400
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,633
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,953
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 166 | 53 | 365 |
| February | 104 | 68 | 388 |
| March | 60 | 122 | 528 |
| April | 12 | 210 | 648 |
| May | 1 | 362 | 826 |
| June | 0 | 462 | 912 |
| July | 0 | 524 | 989 |
| August | 0 | 529 | 994 |
| September | 0 | 472 | 923 |
| October | 4 | 350 | 811 |
| November | 37 | 163 | 576 |
| December | 117 | 88 | 442 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.3 km from June Park. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00085612 (Melbourne WFO). Public domain.