Jennings Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jasper. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 11 and the first fall freeze around November 22, a growing season of about 258 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 24, first November 10
- Median at 32°F
- last March 11, first November 22
- Median at 28°F
- last February 22, first December 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 32°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 |
| 28°F | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 |
| 24°F | Mar 2 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Dec 31 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Feb 1 | Jan 30 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 30 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
| 28°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 24 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 20 | Feb 4 |
| 20°F | Dec 9 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 | Feb 1 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 25 | Jan 31 | Feb 1 | Feb 6 | Feb 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 260 | 250 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 216 | 205 |
| 32°F | 294 | 282 | 273 | 265 | 258 | 251 | 244 | 238 | 228 |
| 28°F | 329 | 315 | 306 | 300 | 293 | 285 | 277 | 267 | 255 |
| 24°F | 365 | 353 | 342 | 335 | 330 | 320 | 312 | 304 | 292 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 350 | 340 | 332 | 322 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 352 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 54% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 13% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,722
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,216
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,651
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,901
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,247
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,731
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,380
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 450 | 6 | 131 |
| February | 321 | 9 | 160 |
| March | 215 | 29 | 300 |
| April | 79 | 82 | 455 |
| May | 10 | 238 | 693 |
| June | 0 | 390 | 840 |
| July | 0 | 471 | 936 |
| August | 0 | 456 | 921 |
| September | 1 | 346 | 795 |
| October | 50 | 148 | 564 |
| November | 218 | 31 | 282 |
| December | 378 | 11 | 172 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.2 km from Jennings. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00084394 (Jasper). Public domain.