Holmes County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Geneva #2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 23 and the first fall freeze around November 7, a growing season of about 231 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last March 23, first November 7
- Median at 28°F
- last March 6, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
| 28°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
| 24°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 17 |
| 20°F | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 24°F | Nov 13 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 7 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 28 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 233 | 225 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 195 | 189 |
| 32°F | 260 | 250 | 243 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 221 | 214 | 206 |
| 28°F | 292 | 281 | 273 | 266 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 232 |
| 24°F | 334 | 322 | 310 | 304 | 296 | 287 | 280 | 271 | 261 |
| 20°F | 365 | 359 | 348 | 337 | 332 | 324 | 315 | 306 | 294 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 349 | 335 | 325 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 83% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 43% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,038
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,225
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,374
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,662
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,072
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,624
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,331
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 522 | 5 | 102 |
| February | 368 | 10 | 138 |
| March | 229 | 30 | 293 |
| April | 92 | 80 | 440 |
| May | 13 | 248 | 701 |
| June | 0 | 408 | 858 |
| July | 0 | 485 | 950 |
| August | 0 | 468 | 933 |
| September | 2 | 338 | 786 |
| October | 77 | 124 | 514 |
| November | 282 | 23 | 228 |
| December | 453 | 7 | 130 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.7 km from Holmes County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00013251 (Geneva #2). Public domain.