Gonzalez Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pensacola 7 Nne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 17 and the first fall freeze around December 9, a growing season of about 299 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 2, first November 24
- Median at 32°F
- last February 17, first December 9
- Median at 28°F
- last January 31, first January 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 8 |
| 32°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 20 |
| 28°F | Mar 1 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Jan 4 |
| 24°F | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 |
| 20°F | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 14 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Jan 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 21 |
| 32°F | Nov 15 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 12 |
| 28°F | Dec 2 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 16 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 18 | Jan 25 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 5 | Jan 8 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 21 | Jan 27 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 299 | 288 | 278 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 247 | 239 |
| 32°F | 333 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 299 | 290 | 284 | 275 | 264 |
| 28°F | 365 | 356 | 345 | 337 | 332 | 327 | 318 | 309 | 298 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 353 | 343 | 334 | 323 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 343 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 56% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 21% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 5% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,440
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,765
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,469
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,691
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,987
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,412
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,000
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 425 | 7 | 140 |
| February | 271 | 13 | 194 |
| March | 144 | 43 | 369 |
| April | 39 | 128 | 539 |
| May | 1 | 334 | 798 |
| June | 0 | 476 | 925 |
| July | 0 | 547 | 1,012 |
| August | 0 | 539 | 1,004 |
| September | 0 | 429 | 879 |
| October | 38 | 198 | 625 |
| November | 187 | 34 | 307 |
| December | 335 | 18 | 195 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.5 km from Gonzalez. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00086999 (Pensacola 7 Nne). Public domain.